SEASONAL
TENDENCIES ARE A COMPOSITE OF SOME OF THE MOST CONSISTENT
COMMODITY FUTURES SEASONALS THAT HAVE OCCURRED IN THE PAST 15
YEARS. THERE ARE
USUALLY UNDERLYING, FUNDAMENTAL CIRCUMSTANCES THAT OCCUR ANNUALLY
THAT TEND TO CAUSE THE FUTURES MARKETS TO REACT IN SIMILAR
DIRECTIONAL MANNER DURING A CERTAIN CALENDAR YEAR.
EVEN IF A SEASONAL TENDENCY OCCURS IN THE FUTURE, IT MAY
NOT RESULT IN A PROFITABLE TRANSACTION AS FEES AND THE TIMING OF
THE ENTRY AND LIQUIDATION MAY IMPACT ON THE RESULTS.
NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT HAS IN THE
PAST, OR WILL IN THE FUTURE, ACHIEVE PROFITS USING THESE
RECOMMENDATIONS. NO
REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT PRICE PATTERNS WILL RECUR IN THE
FUTURE.
Disclosure
of Risk: The risk of loss in trading futures and options can be
substantial; therefore, only genuine risk funds should be used.
Futures and options ARE not suitable investments for all
individuals, and individuals should carefully consider their
financial condition in deciding whether to trade. Option traders
should be aware that the exercise of a long option would result in
a futures position.
HYPOTHETICAL
PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH
ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY
ACCOUNT WILL, OR IS LIKELY TO, ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR
TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES
BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS
SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM.
ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS
IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT.
IN ADDITION, HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK,
AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE
IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE
ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR TO ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING
PROGRAM, IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES, ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN
ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS
OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS, IN GENERAL, OR TO THE
IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE
FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE
RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING
RESULTS.